The $210 Million Blind Spot in NHL Contracts

A single NHL contract can weigh down a roster for over half a decade.  Most teams price players based on what they have already done: their points, hits, and time on ice.  This approach ignores one of the biggest risks in a hard-cap league: future availability. In the 2022-23 season alone, NHL players spent 14,566 […]

Probility AI’s 2024 – 2025 Goals Scored Prediction vs. Reality

Probility AI’s season models keep getting stronger. Our predictions landed within 5 goals for 74% of the National Hockey League (NHL) last season. That’s an accurate glimpse of the future, whether you’re a GM, agent, sportsbook operator, or betting consumer.

Using Player Availability to Assess NHL Trade Value: Brad Marchand

Of all the current takes looking at the Brad Marchand trade, the most interesting criticizes Florida for trading for a seasoned veteran who is currently injured. Florida GM Bill Zito recently announced Marchand, who has yet to play for Florida, will be out “a couple of weeks.” Almost instantly came the question – why would […]